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Cite Details

P. Wang, D. M. Tartakovsky and A. M. Tartakovsky, "Stochastic forecasting of algae blooms in lakes", in Modelling and Simulation in Fluid Dynamics in Porous Media, Springer Proceedings in Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 28, J. A. Ferreira et al. (Eds), (New York), doi:10.1007/978-1-4614-5055-9_6, pp. 99-108, 2013


We consider the development of harmful algal blooms (HABs) in a lake with uncertain nutrients inflow. To quantify the impact of this uncertainty on predictions of the concentrations of various algae groups, we explore two alternative approaches based on the Fokker–Planck equation and PDF methods. Both approaches quantify predictive uncertainty by deriving deterministic equations for joint probability density functions of the algae concentrations. As an example, we study the impact of uncertain initial concentration and inflow–outflow ratio on the evolution of cyanobacteria (the blue-green algae).

BibTeX Entry

author = {P. Wang and D. M. Tartakovsky and A. M. Tartakovsky},
title = {Stochastic forecasting of algae blooms in lakes},
year = {2013},
urlpdf = {},
booktitle = {Modelling and {S}imulation in {F}luid {D}ynamics in {P}orous {M}edia, {S}pringer {P}roceedings in {M}athematics and {S}tatistics, {V}ol. 28},
editors = {J. A. Ferreira et al. },
address = {New York},
doi = {10.1007/978-1-4614-5055-9_6},
pages = {99-108}